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’Lai-Hsiao’ tied with ’Hou-Jaw’ in latest Taiwan polls
The latest poll released by United Daily News shows a neck-and-neck race unfolding in Taiwan’s upcoming 2024 presidential election. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidates, Lai Ching-te and Hsiao Bi-khim, known as "Lai-Hsiao," have a support rate of 31%, matching the popularity of the Kuomintang (KMT) duo Hou Yu-ih and Jaw Shaw-kong, dubbed "Hou-Jaw," who also have a 31% approval rating. Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) candidate Ko Wen-je and his vice-presidential partner, Cynthia Wu, referred to as "Ko-Wu," currently stand at 21% in the polls. In terms of in-party support, "Lai-Hsiao" leads with an 86% approval rate among DPP supporters, "Hou-Jaw" has an 83% approval from KMT adherents, and "Ko-Wu" secured an 85% backing from TPP followers. Among neutral voters, "Hou-Jaw" leads with 25%, followed by "Ko-Wu" at 23%, and "Lai-Hsiao" at 19%. However, 45% of all polled voters believe "Lai-Hsiao" are most likely to win the election, compared to 23% for "Hou-Jaw" and 13% for "Ko-Wu," with 19% feeling the outcome is too close to call. The survey also indicates a collective yearning among 48% of respondents for political change, with 31% expressing a strong desire to see the DPP unseated. The poll, conducted from Dec. 13 to Dec. 17, involved 1,250 adult respondents with an additional 368 refusals. The methodology employed dual-frame sampling of both landline and mobile phones, accounting for mobile-only households, and the results were weighted according to age, gender, and population distribution across various municipalities for those aged over 20. The survey has a margin of error of ±2.8 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.2023/12/19 10:07 -
Lai-Hsiao lead slips but tops Taiwan poll at 35.1%
The latest public opinion poll in Taiwan shows a decline in support for all presidential hopeful pairings in the 2024 election. The Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) Lai-Hsiao ticket maintains a lead with 35.1% support, despite a drop of 2.7 percentage points. The Kuomintang’s (KMT) Hou-Jaw pairing saw a marginal decline to 32.5%, indicating a close race. The Taiwan People Party’s (TPP) Ko-Wu team also experienced a dip in support, sliding to an even 17%. In terms of party rotation, 32.2% of respondents believe it would be better for Taiwan’s development if the DPP continues to hold the presidency, while 29% prefer a KMT takeover and 15% support the TPP. The poll included 1,201 participants over the age of 20 and was conducted on December 7, 8, and 11.2023/12/12 13:58